ALERT: Less than 1% of US population infected with coronavirus so far, new research finds, meaning FIVE MILLION Americans would have to die to achieve “herd immunity”

(Natural News) Comprehensive new research conducted by Imperial College of Science, Technology and Medicine in London has derived very reliable estimates of what percent of the population has been infected with coronavirus in each of 11 European countries. From these numbers, we can easily calculate that the case fatality rate from coronavirus infections is at least twenty times higher than the seasonal flu. We can also conclude that at least five million Americans would have to die in order to achieve “herd immunity” (see full calculations below).

The full research paper is available at this link (PDF).

If you don’t want to read the full PDF, a short summary of the research is available here.

The findings are crucial for understanding how nations must respond to the coronavirus pandemic because they provide a roadmap for where we are right now in terms of penetration of the virus across the populations of the nations studied. Many “pandemic denialists” have, over the last month, claimed that the virus has already infected the vast majority of the populations across the USA and European nations, claiming the lockdowns should be ended with no additional measures needed because, they claim, “herd immunity” has already been achieved.

We now know that interpretation of this pandemic is in error. In the USA, Germany, Denmark and even the UK, the coronavirus infections have only just begun.

The highest infection penetration so far is found in Spain, with an estimated 15% infection rate

The research finds that Spain already has around 15% of its population infected while Italy has just under 10% infected. Those are the high numbers. All the other nations are significantly lower, and Germany has just 0.72% of its population infected so far, which is one reason why hospitalizations and deaths in Germany have been so low. (The real calculated range for Germany, with a 95% certainty range, is 0.28% – 1.8%.)

Table 1 from the research:

The Germany scenario is important for all Americans to grasp because Germany’s numbers most closely match what’s happening in America, on a per capita basis. According to daily numbers tracked by, Germany has 1,285 confirmed coronavirus cases per one million population. The USA has 1,210 confirmed cases per million population, which is very similar on a per capita basis.

Germany has so far recorded 24 deaths per million people, while the USA has recorded 39 deaths per million. Those are also very close, considering that nations like Spain are reporting 300 deaths per million.

Furthermore, the level of hospital technology is very similar between Germany and the United States. Many German doctors, for example, are educated in U.S. medical schools, and vice-versa.

Thus, the Imperial College estimates for Germany are a good match for the United States, and that means the USA likely has experienced a similar infection penetration across its own population: 0.72%.

This means the coronavirus infections in the USA have only just begun

What’s crucial to grasp from all this is that over 99% of Americans have not yet been infected with the coronavirus. Naturally, this means that if lockdowns are lifted without additional measures undertaken to halt a resurgence of new infections, the United States of America will suffer a second wave of coronavirus infections.

It also tells us a lot about the case fatality rate for coronavirus infections in the United States, given that we have fatality numbers to reference.

If we start with an estimated 0.72% of the US population infected with the coronavirus, that’s about 2.35 million Americans who have been infected so far. With 13,000 deaths already recorded in the United States, that’s a death rate which has already achieved over 0.55%, with many more deaths still to come due to the lag time (the case fatality rate for the seasonal flu is 0.1%). And according to recent NYT reporting which interviewed coroners across the country, the real number of deaths is almost certainly at least twice the officially reported numbers, which means the coronavirus has already killed over 1% of those it infected in the United States, making it at least ten times more deadly than the seasonal flu (but there’s more, see below).

And that’s the good news. If you want a more accurate look at where this is headed, out of over 400,000 confirmed infections in the United States, 366,000 of those are still “active” which means they aren’t yet resolved. Only 21,700 have recovered so far, which isn’t even twice the number who have died. Only 34,700 cases are so far resolved in the United States, and out of those resolved cases, nearly 13,000 have died. That’s more than one third of the resolved cases. This means that so far, for every two people who resolve their infections without dying, one additional person dies.

Of course, if 2.35 million Americans are already infected, and only 400,000 cases are confirmed, that means nearly 2 million Americans are infected but not yet tested. Based on previous research we’ve all seen about asymptomatic carriers, over half of those people are surely asymptomatic carriers, which means there are probably slightly more than one million Americans walking around with no symptoms who would be spreading the coronavirus to others if not for the lockdowns which are forcing social distancing.

In other words, without the current lockdowns in place, America would have already had tens of millions of infections by now, which would have resulted in millions of deaths by July (just as our original pandemic projection models described). Thankfully, lockdowns began in mid-March, shutting down most of the replication opportunities for the virus.

The fatalities we’re on track to see point to a much higher case fatality rate than 1%

All this also means that with 2.35 million Americans infected, a 1% case fatality rate would result in 23,500 fatalities. Yet there’s now no question we’re going to see at least twice that number of fatalities within the next 90 days or so, even if the lockdowns continue. And that means the real case fatality rate is almost certainly higher than 2%, making the coronavirus 20 times more deadly than the seasonal flu.

Our current projections put the expected deaths by the end of July at 45,000 – 90,000 Americans. A total of 1,970 Americans died just today, and that number is expected to keep climbing for the next week, after which it is expected to slowly decrease. Given that we’re already at 13,000 deaths right now, with +2,000 new deaths per day added to the total, it’s obviously impossible that this will stop at just 23,500 fatalities (which would be the 1% case fatality rate).

It’s far more likely that we will see exceed 45,000 fatalities (around a 2% case fatality rate), and we might see 60,000 fatalities (around a 3% case fatality rate). If we hit 75,000 fatalities in the next 90 days or so, that would indicate a roughly 4% case fatality rate, which is 40 times higher than the seasonal flu.

Those who opposed the lockdowns were using bad math all along

It turns out that the pro-Trump talking heads and publishers who tried to argue that lockdowns weren’t necessary were all using bad math. They had claimed two things which we now know are not true:

1) They claimed that the case fatality rate of the coronavirus was only 1 in 1,000 people (0.1%) or even as low as 1 in 10,000 people (0.01%).

2) They claimed the coronavirus had already infected the vast majority of the population, insisting that “herd immunity” had already been reached.

As it turns out, every one of the individuals making such claims was really bad at math and was pursuing a political agenda: The “Fox News” agenda of trying to downplay the severity of the virus in order to somehow avoid economic damage. (Yes, that strategy makes no sense, because if you simply ignored the virus, it would have killed at least two million Americans by July, which would have devastated the economy anyway.)

The important truths to recognize in all this are:

1) The lockdowns worked. They stopped the virus from spreading on an exponential basis, likely saving at least two million lives over the next 3-4 months.

2) The lockdowns cannot be ended without taking additional precautions to halt a resurgence in infections. I have outlined the four solutions that need to be put in place in this Natural News article.

3) There will likely be a second wave of coronavirus infections later this year. That’s because less than 1% of the US population has been infected so far, and at least a third of those are in New York. Without extreme precautions to prevent new outbreaks, we will see a second wave starting to spread in August – October, and the 2020 / 2021 winter could prove especially devastating for new coronavirus outbreaks.

4) We are nowhere near herd immunity. Achieving herd immunity with a virus that exhibits this R0 value (of around 3.9, according to new Imperial College estimates), at least 80% of the entire US population would have to be infected first.

5) Achieving herd immunity (80% infection rate across the population) would likely require 5.2 million additional deaths. So anyone talking about ending the lockdowns to “achieve herd immunity” is actually saying, “Hey, let’s kill 5.2 million people in the United States in order to save our stock portfolios.”

That’s why the people demanding the lockdowns be ended while simultaneously (and falsely) claiming we’ve already reached “herd immunity” are not just wrong; they’re extremely dangerous to the millions of would-be victims who will die if such reckless plans are put into place.

The correct answer in all this is to end the lockdowns in a way that continues to protect public health and halt viral replication. That can only be achieved with masks, zinc, vitamin D and vitamin C, not through non-existent vaccines or potentially dangerous prescription drugs.

Nutrition can save America, in other words. But America is too corrupt and controlled by Big Pharma to recognize it, which means we’re all sharing a nationwide suicide mission that’s being guided by the vaccine industry to destroy our economy and enslave our people while censoring the nutritional cures that could solve all this right now. (Big Pharma influenced Big Tech to enforce all the bans, making sure the American people are never allowed to learn the truth about nutritional cures.)

If you question our own projections, by the way, check out this amazing video that tracks our podcasts and news stories from the very beginning of the coronavirus pandemic. You’ll find that Natural News was the most accurate news source in the world, correctly warning about exactly what was coming:

Bombshell plea from NYC ICU doctor: COVID-19 is a condition of oxygen deprivation, not pneumonia… VENTILATORS may be causing the lung damage, not the virus

(Natural News) A NYC physician named Cameron Kyle-Sidell has posted two videos on YouTube, pleading for health practitioners to recognize that COVID-19 is not a pneumonia-like disease at all. It’s an oxygen deprivation condition, and the use of ventilators may be doing more harm than good with some patients. The ventilators themselves, due to the high-pressure methods they are running, may be damaging the lungs and leading to widespread harm of patients.

Dr. Cameron Kyle-Sidell describes himself as an “ER and critical care doctor” for NYC. “In these nine days I have seen things I have never seen before,” he says. Before publishing his video, we confirmed that Dr. Kyle-Sidell is an emergency medicine physician in Brooklyn and is affiliated with the Maimonides Medical Center located in Brooklyn.

In his video (see below), he goes on to warn the world that the entire approach to treating COVID-19 may be incorrect, and that the disease is something completely different from what the dogmatic medical establishment is claiming.

“In treating these patients, I have witnessed medical phenomena that just don’t make sense in the context of treating a disease that is supposed to be a viral pneumonia,” he explains.

He talks about how he opened a critical care using expecting to be treating patients with a viral pneumonia infection that would progress into Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS). But that the disease acted nothing like ARDS. “This is the paradigm that every hospital in the country is working under,” he warns. “And yet, everything I’ve seen in the last nine days, all the things that just don’t make sense, the patients I’m seeing in front of me, the lungs I’m trying to improve, have led me to believe that COVID-19 is not this disease, and that we are operating under a medical paradigm that is untrue.”

More from Dr. Kyle-Sidell: (emphasis added)

In short, I believe we are treating the wrong disease, and I fear that this misguided treatment will lead to a tremendous amount of harm to a great number of people in a very short time… I feel compelled to give this information out.

COVID-19 lung disease, as far as I can see, is not a pneumonia and should not be treated as one. Rather, it appears as if some kind of viral-induced disease most resembling high altitude sickness. Is it as if tens of thousands of my fellow New Yorkers are on a plane at 30,000 feet at the cabin pressure is slowly being let out. These patients are slowly being starved of oxygen.

And while [patients] absolutely look like patients on the brink of death, they do not look like patients dying from pneumonia… I suspect that the patients I’m seeing in front of me, look as if a person was dropped off on the top of Mt. Everest without time to acclimate.

He goes on to explain that ventilators, in some cases, may be doing far more harm than good.

When we treat people with ARDS, we typically use ventilators to treat respiratory failure. But these patients’ muscles work fine. I fear that if we are using a false paradigm to treat a new disease, then the method that we program [into] the ventilator, one based on respiratory failure as opposed to oxygen failure, that this method being widely adopted … aims to increase pressure on the lungs in order to open them up, is actually doing more harm than good, and that the pressure we are providing to lungs, we may be providing to lungs that cannot take it. And that the ARDS that we are seeing, may be nothing more than lung injury caused by the ventilator.

There are hundreds of thousands of lungs in this country at risk.

In other words, the real disease appears to cause oxygen deprivation in victims, not pneumonia. This is critically important for all the obvious reasons, and it raises huge questions about the origins of the coronavirus and whether there is some additional external factor beyond the virus that may be causing a combined effect that results in severe oxygen deprivation.

Watch the full video here:

Watch this second video where he begs the world to recognize that the ventilator protocols are not working and must be changed.

From this second video:

We don’t know where we’re going. We are putting breathing tubes in people and putting them on ventilators and dialing up the pressure to open their lungs. I’ve talked to doctors all around the country and it is becoming increasingly clear that the pressure we are providing may be hurting their lungs. That it is highly likely that the high pressures we are using are damaging the lungs of the patients we are putting breathing tubes in… we are running the ventilators in the wrong way…. COVID-19 patients need oxygen, they do not need pressure.

We can END the lockdowns and HALT the pandemic right now: FOUR simple steps to economic and health freedom

(Natural News) Although lockdowns are working to stop the spread of the virus, we now have enough knowledge to end the lockdowns, halt the pandemic and get our world back to work.

It can be accomplished with four simple things that are available right now. No, the world doesn’t have to wait for a vaccine that may or may not work. We don’t have to remain prisoners in our homes and apartments, on and off for the next year, waiting for Big Pharma to turn us into vaccine sheeple with mandatory vaccine tracking and medical tyranny. (That’s the Dr. Anthony Fauci plan, which is now being called “national suicide.”)

Here’s the simple solution:

1) Everybody needs to wear a mask.

2) Everybody needs to take zinc + vitamin D.

3) Hydroxychloroquine must be made widely available to treat serious patients.

4) The government must start testing asymptomatic people to identify stealth carriers.

We need a national program right now to manufacture and distribute zinc supplements at no charge to the entire population. We need large-scale, “war time” production of masks and testing kits. And we need public education programs that reverse the idiotic advice of government officials who told Americans to “stop buying masks!” and other similar nonsense.

Most importantly, we need to end the Big Pharma stranglehold over America, because it’s Big Pharma that’s pushing the censorship of truthful knowledge about zinc, vitamin D and natural cures. Big Pharma controls the media, the medical schools, lawmakers and even the tech giants. Dr. Fauci is a puppetmaster of Big Pharma, and he represents their interests, not the interests of the American people.

The bottom line? If we continue to allow Big Pharma to control all information about public health, potentially millions will die and our economy will collapse from the repeated lockdowns. Big Pharma will destroy America just to push their monopolistic control over public health, and they absolutely do not want zinc, vitamin D or even off-patent, cheap drugs like hydroxychloroquine to solve this problem before a vaccine comes along.

Every death that occurs from this coronavirus is a death of ignorance. Millions do not need to die. The economy doesn’t need to collapse. We don’t need to live as prisoners in our own homes, surveiled by a medical police state that answers to Big Pharma and the NIH (Dr. Fauci).

Watch and share this mini-documentary everywhere, and together we can defeat the globalists by ending the pandemic and getting America back on its feet: